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McCain and Clinton top choices among Missouri voters

Monday, January 28, 2008 | 10:39 a.m. CST; updated 7:51 a.m. CDT, Tuesday, July 22, 2008

ST. LOUIS — Sens. John McCain and Hillary Clinton are the leading choices for Missourians who plan to vote in the Feb. 5 primary, according to new polls conducted for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch and KMOV-TV.

The latest poll figures show Sen. Barack Obama lagging 13 points behind Clinton in Missouri. Research 2000 conducted two polls last week for the newspaper and television station.

A poll of 500 Republicans found McCain with 31 percent of the support, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee with 25 percent, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with 21 percent, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani at 8 percent and Texas Rep. Ron Paul at 6 percent.

In a poll of likely Democratic primary voters who were asked how they would vote if the primary were “today,” Clinton was favored by 44 percent, Obama had 31 percent and former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards received 18 percent.

Eight percent of Republicans were undecided, compared with 6 percent of Democrats. That poll had a margin of error of 4.5 percentage points.

The other poll, with a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points, matched up candidates from both parties against each other.

Clinton and McCain were in a statistical tie head-to-head.

Barack supporters held an event at his campaign headquarters in St. Louis on Sunday afternoon, to rally support after Obama’s big win in the South Carolina primary Saturday.

“We have not as Democrats had anyone this inspiring since John F. Kennedy,” former Sen. Jean Carnahan said at the gathering.

Obama’s campaign said it would be in St. Louis on Saturday night, but additional details were not available.

Research 2000 chief Del Ali said Clinton’s two Democratic rivals, Obama and Edwards, fared better than Clinton in the polls head-to-head against McCain, both narrowly edging him out.

Obama would do better against the top three top Republicans by slightly larger margins than Clinton or Edwards in identical matchups.

The newspaper reported that’s because Obama and Edwards are a bit stronger than Clinton among nonaligned independent voters. Clinton and McCain are in a virtual tie because they snagged statistically equal shares of the independent voters.

It’s the independent voters who make the difference and determine who’s ahead, Ali said, noting their cooler opinion of Clinton could be a problem in November.

Ali said the poll’s biggest news is the sudden shift in fortunes among Republicans, compared with Research 2000’s last Missouri poll in November.

In that poll, Giuliani was in the lead, with support of about a quarter of the Republicans polled. In the new poll, Giuliani’s support fell to single digits.

“It’s astounding,” Ali said. “Giuliani has fallen off the face of the Earth. And there’s no question that voters are feeding off of McCain’s success in other states.”

Almost a third of Missourians polled in November rated the war in Iraq as their top issue. This time, their concerns were divided, with the economy nudging out the war. Health care was not far behind.


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Dave Avery January 28, 2008 | 3:49 p.m.

McCain Argued for Amnesty in 2003 Congressional Statement
HEARING OF THE SENATE COMMERCE, SCIENCE AND TRANSPORTATION COMMITTEE, Federal News Service Transcrip ^ | April 9, 2003 Wednesday | SENATOR JOHN MCCAIN (R-AZ)

Posted on 01/06/2008 12:49:59 PM CST by Wallaby

Secretary Ridge, I'd just like to mention one aspect of your responsibilities this morning. And, as you know, it's not often that I discuss issues that relate to my home state. But I did have the privilege of accompanying Deputy Undersecretary Asa Hutchinson and other outstanding public servants to the Arizona-Mexico border a few weeks ago with other members of the delegation, including Senator Kyl and House members. And I invite you to come when things calm down a bit, because I think it's important for you to be able to see long, long distances of border which are unsecured between our two countries.... And I know you'll agree with me that one of our first responsibilities is to secure our borders.

And may I just add an additional comment? If it were just securing our borders, then I think your task would be easy. But like the case with drugs, we are creating a demand. There are jobs that Americans won't do, so Mexican citizens will try to come across -- and Central Americans and others -- will try to come across our borders so they can be able to feed themselves and their families, which argues for amnesty programs, guest worker programs, et cetera. And I think that that has to be a priority of the Congress and the administration, because I don't believe, as we have proven in the war on drugs, that we are ever going to keep people from crossing our borders, as long as there is an incentive for them to come across. But I don't have to tell you, Mr. Secretary, the potential this has for the ability of people with evil intentions to come into the United States of America and do bad things.

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